Bearish divergence into the highs leaves the immediate topside bias at risk with a possible median-line formation identified earlier today. Interim support rests with the September high-day close at 7642 backed by the weekly opening-range lows / 38.2% retracement at 7599-7603. More significant support rests at the 7568- also an area of interest for possible exhaustion / long-entries. The focus remains lower while below the upper median-line parallel (blue) with a breach above 7699 (bearish invalidation) needed to fuel the next leg higher in the pair. Such a scenario targets subsequent resistance objectives at the 2016 high-day close at 7735 & the 88.6% retracement at 7756. From a trading standpoint Ill be looking for a pullback towards longer-term slope support for long-entries. Keep in mind we also have numerous Fed members on tap this week as well, including Chair Yellen. For the complete setup and to continue tracking this trade & more throughout the week- Subscribe to SB Trade Desk . More A summary of the DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows traders are net shortAUDUSD- the ratio stands at -1.42 (41% of traders are long)- weak bullish reading Long positions are 22.1% below levels seen last week while short positions are 22.1% higher during the same period.
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